Premier League GW38 final day is here. Our tips cover the relegation decider, the European race, and Guardiola’s farewell — all kicking off simultaneously at 4pm BST.
Sunday May 24 is Premier League Final Day, and all ten fixtures kick off simultaneously at 4:00 PM BST. Arsenal are already crowned champions, but the bottom of the table is still on fire. Our Premier League GW38 betting tips target the matches with the most at stake — and the most value for Nigerian punters betting today.
For full context on the season run-in, read our GW38 preview. But if you’re here for the picks, read on. Every tip below is for a match that has not yet been played.
This is the match that decides which London club drops to the Championship. West Ham (36 points) need a win against Leeds. Tottenham (38 points) are still vulnerable — but West Ham cannot rely on anyone else. They must win their own game first.
West Ham at home, with survival on the line, is a powerful psychological setup. The London Stadium crowd will be electric. Leeds, already safe in mid-table, arrive with nothing to play for. That dynamic heavily favours the Hammers.
Dimers’ model gives West Ham a 46.7% win probability, with Leeds at 28.6%. The bookmakers agree — West Ham are the clear home favourites.
Our pick: West Ham Win and Over 1.5 Goals — approximately 1.95 on Bet9ja. The Hammers cannot afford to park the bus. They will attack from the first minute. Leeds, with no motivation to defend hard, will not make it easy.
The double chance (West Ham Win or Draw) at 1.36 is for conservative accounts. West Ham need three points, not one.
Bournemouth head to the City Ground knowing a win could put them in the Champions League next season. Forest, safe in mid-table, have lost just one of their last six home games. This is no easy destination.
Still, according to premierleague.com, Opta give Bournemouth a 46.6% chance of winning — favourites even on the road. The Cherries have been extraordinary all season and their European ambitions are genuine.
Our pick: Bournemouth Win — approximately 2.15 on SportyBet. The odds underestimate how much Bournemouth want this. Forest are comfortable, Bournemouth are desperate for European glory. Back the away win.
Pep Guardiola takes charge of Manchester City for the final time on Sunday in his 593rd match as manager. Villa arrive at the Etihad with nothing to play for, and City will want to send Guardiola out with a win.
Sentimental occasions often produce dominant home performances. City at the Etihad, even in a transitional year, are hard to beat. Villa will not be aggressive.
Our pick: Man City Win — approximately 1.60 on BetKing. Short odds, but reliable for a single pick or as the anchor of an accumulator. City will want this one for Pep.
A three-leg Premier League accumulator for the final day:
Combined odds: approximately 6.55. A solid three-leg special for Nigerian punters who want a meaningful payout without ridiculous risk. Keep the stake at one to two units — final-day football always throws surprises.
For a cross-competition accumulator including NPFL picks, see our today’s free betting tips page.
Bournemouth Win at 2.15 away at Nottingham Forest is our Premier League value pick of the weekend. The market is respecting Forest’s home record, but Bournemouth’s motivation is the difference here. A team chasing a first-ever Champions League appearance against a side with nothing to play for is exactly the kind of edge value bettors look for.
One to two units. Trust the ambition.
Arsenal lift the title trophy at Selhurst Park on Sunday. As covered in our Arsenal champions feature, the Gunners end a 22-year wait. For betting purposes, avoid this one — Arsenal could rotate heavily, and Palace will want to spoil the party.
The emotional occasion makes this fixture unpredictable for punters. Leave it, watch it, and enjoy it.
Final day football means big stakes, big drama, and more traps than usual. Here is how to protect your bankroll today:
Back singles first. Load one unit on West Ham, one on Bournemouth, and one on City before you think about an accumulator. Then if you want a speculative multi, build it from what you already trust.
Find competitive odds at the top Nigerian bookmakers — compare Bet9ja, SportyBet, and BetKing before placing. A difference of 0.10 in odds adds up across a full final-day card.
Responsible gambling: Betting should be for entertainment only. Only bet what you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting you, contact the NLRC helpline.
Responsible gambling: Betting should be for entertainment only. Only bet what you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting you, contact the NLRC helpline.
