Arsenal head to the Stadium of Light with five wins from five and haven’t lost to Sunderland in 14 meetings. Here’s our Sunderland vs Arsenal prediction.
Arsenal travel to the Stadium of Light on Saturday, September 12, 2026, carrying the kind of form that makes this fixture look one-sided on paper. However, newly-promoted Sunderland have shown enough in their first three games to suggest they won’t simply roll over at home.
Arsenal arrive with five wins from five across all competitions, conceding just once all season — a defensive record that’s exceptional even by their own recent standards. Sunderland, meanwhile, sit 12th with four points from three games: a win, a draw and a loss. That’s a solid enough return for a promoted side, but nowhere near what’s needed to trouble a team playing with Arsenal’s current confidence.
The head-to-head record makes for grim reading if you’re a Sunderland fan: Arsenal haven’t lost to them in 14 meetings, with the Black Cats’ last win over the Gunners coming in an FA Cup tie back in 2011-12.
Sunderland could hand a full Premier League debut to deadline-day signing Malick Fofana, who impressed off the bench in recent games after his £30 million move from Arsenal’s own list of summer targets. That said, they’re without Habib Diarra for six to eight weeks with a thigh injury, and winger Romaine Mundle is expected to miss the rest of the year following knee surgery.
Arsenal could welcome back Jurrien Timber and Cristhian Mosquera from injury, though William Saliba remains sidelined. New signing Ezri Konsa has settled in quickly and has been part of a defence that’s kept clean sheet after clean sheet.
The form and the history both point the same way here. Arsenal look well set to control possession and dictate territory, and Sunderland’s counter-attacking approach will need near-perfect execution to trouble a defence this well-drilled. We favour an Arsenal win, and given how tight their defence has been, the value looks strongest around a clean sheet for the visitors rather than a high-scoring afternoon.
Catch up on the rest of the weekend’s fixtures in our Premier League gameweek 4 guide, and if you’re building a multi-game slip, our guide to using betting stats can help you weigh up the numbers properly.
Team news confirmed via Sports Mole’s match preview.
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